The date arrives by arithmetic rather than by decision.

On June 25 the Supreme Court decided Mullin v. Doe, 6 to 3, with Justice Alito writing, holding that Congress had barred judicial review of non-constitutional challenges to a decision by the Department of Homeland Security to terminate Temporary Protected Status [1]. The ruling was not about whether Haitians should keep their status. It was about whether a court is permitted to examine the question at all, and for most kinds of challenge the answer was no.

What followed was procedure. Federal rules required 32 days before the case could return to the lower courts, and an appellate court has since clarified that TPS for more than 330,000 Haitians will not be terminated before Monday, July 27 [1] - which makes tomorrow the earliest date on which it can be.

Temporary Protected Status is not a visa or a path to citizenship. It is a designation that makes a person's presence lawful, authorises them to work, and bars their removal while their home country is judged unsafe to return to. Those three things end together.

Two other figures sit in the same window and are worth reading beside it. More than 4,000 white Afrikaners were granted exceptions to the refugee ban [1]. More than 550 assault charges have also been filed against protestors and immigrants [1].